Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 19 games · KenPom on 19 · systems on 11 · built 5:00 PM CT
Leans for research, not locks. Confirm injuries and lineups before tip.
Every game on tonight's slate with KenPom's number next to DraftKings' line, how the line has moved, and the betting systems that apply. These are leans for research, not locks. Confirm injuries and lineups before tip.
21 plays flagged (17 from the KenPom edge, 4 from betting systems). Ranked by edge, line movement and systems support, two per game at most.
KenPom has Virginia by 25.0; DK has Virginia by 31.5, so 6.5 pts of value on Drexel. No move yet since the first snapshot at 5:00 PM. 2 betting systems back this side (best ROI 26%).
KenPom projects 166 vs a DK total of 172.5: 6.5 pts toward the under. Total moved 171.5 to 172.5. 9 betting systems back this side (best ROI 47%).
KenPom projects 161 vs a DK total of 166.5: 5.5 pts toward the under. Total moved 167.5 to 166.5.
KenPom has Texas A&M by 26.0; DK has Texas A&M by 32.5, so 6.5 pts of value on Alabama St. No move yet since the first snapshot at 5:00 PM.
KenPom has Cal Baptist by 7.0; DK has Cal Baptist by 10.5, so 3.5 pts of value on North Florida. Line moved -11.5 to -10.5 (toward North Florida).
KenPom projects 146 vs a DK total of 150.5: 4.5 pts toward the under. No move yet since the first snapshot at 5:00 PM.
KenPom has Kentucky by 29.0; DK has Kentucky by 33.5, so 4.5 pts of value on Manhattan. No move yet since the first snapshot at 5:00 PM.
KenPom has South Carolina by 14.0; DK has South Carolina by 20.5, so 6.5 pts of value on Stetson. Line moved -19.5 to -20.5 (toward South Carolina).
KenPom has UNLV by 18.0; DK has UNLV by 20.5, so 2.5 pts of value on Northern Arizona. Line moved -21.5 to -20.5 (toward Northern Arizona).
KenPom projects 146 vs a DK total of 153.5: 7.5 pts toward the under. No move yet since the first snapshot at 5:00 PM. 6 betting systems on the other side.
Spreads are the home team's number. Edge is the market minus KenPom: positive likes the home side, and on totals positive likes the over. Gold edges clear the flag thresholds (2.5 on spreads, 4 on totals).
| Tip CT | Game | Open | Now | Move | KenPom | Edge | Tot open | Tot now | Move | KP total | Edge | ML away / home | Systems | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:00 PM | Wofford Terriers @ Tennessee VolunteersLine shop › | -24.5 | -25.5 | -1 | -27.0 | +1.5 | 155.5 | 155.5 | – | 151.0 | -4.5 | +2500 / -9000 | Tennessee 3, Over 1 | high-major |
| 6:00 PM | Wagner Seahawks @ Boston College EaglesLine shop › | -19.5 | -20.5 | -1 | -16.0 | -4.5 | 142.5 | 143.5 | +1 | 142.0 | -1.5 | +1600 / -4000 | – | high-major |
| 6:00 PM | Fort Wayne Mastodons @ Duquesne DukesLine shop › | -9.5 | -9.5 | – | -12.0 | +2.5 | 153.5 | 153.5 | – | 152.0 | -1.5 | +380 / -500 | – | other |
| 6:00 PM | Hampton Pirates @ Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsLine shop › | -14.5 | -13.5 | +1 | -12.0 | -1.5 | 148.5 | 149.5 | +1 | 146.0 | -3.5 | +800 / -1350 | – | high-major |
| 6:00 PM | Manhattan Jaspers @ Kentucky WildcatsLine shop › | -33.5 | -33.5 | – | -29.0 | -4.5 | 158.5 | 158.5 | – | 157.0 | -1.5 | – / – | Over 3 | high-major |
| 6:00 PM | Holy Cross Crusaders @ Rhode Island RamsLine shop › | -20.5 | -20.5 | – | -19.0 | -1.5 | 147.5 | 147.5 | – | 145.0 | -2.5 | +1700 / -4500 | – | other |
| 6:00 PM | Stetson Hatters @ South Carolina GamecocksLine shop › | -19.5 | -20.5 | -1 | -14.0 | -6.5 | 149.5 | 149.5 | – | 150.0 | +0.5 | +1800 / -5000 | Under 1 | high-major |
| 6:00 PM | Coppin St Eagles @ Virginia Tech HokiesLine shop › | -31.5 | -31.5 | – | -30.0 | -1.5 | 150.5 | 150.5 | – | 146.0 | -4.5 | – / – | – | high-major |
| 6:30 PM | Sam Houston St Bearkats @ Alabama Crimson TideLine shop › | -26.5 | -27.5 | -1 | -26.0 | -1.5 | 171.5 | 172.5 | +1 | 166.0 | -6.5 | +2200 / -8000 | Under 9 | high-major |
| 6:30 PM | Drexel Dragons @ Virginia CavaliersLine shop › | -31.5 | -31.5 | – | -25.0 | -6.5 | 142.5 | 142.5 | – | 141.0 | -1.5 | – / – | Drexel 2 | high-major |
| 7:00 PM | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions @ Arkansas RazorbacksLine shop › | -41.5 | -41.5 | – | -35.0 | -6.5 | 167.5 | 166.5 | -1 | 161.0 | -5.5 | – / – | Arkansas 3 | high-major |
| 7:00 PM | Lipscomb Bisons @ Iowa HawkeyesLine shop › | -23.5 | -23.5 | – | -20.0 | -3.5 | 145.5 | 149.5 | +4 | 150.0 | +0.5 | +2200 / -8000 | Lipscomb 1 | high-major |
| 7:00 PM | South Dakota St Jackrabbits @ Kansas St WildcatsLine shop › | -11.5 | -10.5 | +1 | -13.0 | +2.5 | 159.5 | 159.5 | – | 157.0 | -2.5 | +490 / -675 | – | other |
| 7:00 PM | New Orleans Privateers @ LSU TigersLine shop › | -27.5 | -27.5 | – | -24.0 | -3.5 | 159.5 | 159.5 | – | 158.0 | -1.5 | +3000 / -10000 | – | high-major |
| 7:00 PM | Cleveland St Vikings @ Missouri TigersLine shop › | -26.5 | -26.5 | – | -26.0 | -0.5 | 159.5 | 160.5 | +1 | 160.0 | -0.5 | +2200 / -8000 | – | high-major |
| 7:00 PM | Alabama St Hornets @ Texas A&M AggiesLine shop › | -32.5 | -32.5 | – | -26.0 | -6.5 | 161.5 | 163.5 | +2 | 160.0 | -3.5 | – / – | – | high-major |
| 9:00 PM | North Florida Ospreys @ Cal Baptist LancersLine shop › | -11.5 | -10.5 | +1 | -7.0 | -3.5 | 158.5 | 155.5 | -3 | 157.0 | +1.5 | +470 / -650 | – | other |
| 9:00 PM | CSU Fullerton Titans @ San Diego St AztecsLine shop › | -16.5 | -13.5 | +3 | -14.0 | +0.5 | 154.5 | 154.5 | – | 152.0 | -2.5 | +800 / -1350 | Over 1 | other |
| 9:00 PM | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks @ UNLV RebelsLine shop › | -21.5 | -20.5 | +1 | -18.0 | -2.5 | 153.5 | 153.5 | – | 146.0 | -7.5 | +1800 / -5000 | Over 6 | other |
Line-24.5 → -25.5 (-1)
KP-27.0
Edge+1.5 Tennessee
Line155.5
KP151.0
Edge-4.5 Under
Line-19.5 → -20.5 (-1)
KP-16.0
Edge-4.5 Wagner
Line142.5 → 143.5 (+1)
KP142.0
Edge-1.5 Under
Line-9.5
KP-12.0
Edge+2.5 Duquesne
Line153.5
KP152.0
Edge-1.5 Under
Line-14.5 → -13.5 (+1)
KP-12.0
Edge-1.5 Hampton
Line148.5 → 149.5 (+1)
KP146.0
Edge-3.5 Under
Line-33.5
KP-29.0
Edge-4.5 Manhattan
Line158.5
KP157.0
Edge-1.5 Under
Line-20.5
KP-19.0
Edge-1.5 Holy Cross
Line147.5
KP145.0
Edge-2.5 Under
Line-19.5 → -20.5 (-1)
KP-14.0
Edge-6.5 Stetson
Line149.5
KP150.0
Edge+0.5 Over
Line-31.5
KP-30.0
Edge-1.5 Coppin St
Line150.5
KP146.0
Edge-4.5 Under
Line-26.5 → -27.5 (-1)
KP-26.0
Edge-1.5 Sam Houston St
Line171.5 → 172.5 (+1)
KP166.0
Edge-6.5 Under
Line-31.5
KP-25.0
Edge-6.5 Drexel
Line142.5
KP141.0
Edge-1.5 Under
Line-41.5
KP-35.0
Edge-6.5 Arkansas Pine Bluff
Line167.5 → 166.5 (-1)
KP161.0
Edge-5.5 Under
Line-23.5
KP-20.0
Edge-3.5 Lipscomb
Line145.5 → 149.5 (+4)
KP150.0
Edge+0.5 Over
Line-11.5 → -10.5 (+1)
KP-13.0
Edge+2.5 Kansas St
Line159.5
KP157.0
Edge-2.5 Under
Line-27.5
KP-24.0
Edge-3.5 LSU New Orleans
Line159.5
KP158.0
Edge-1.5 Under
Line-26.5
KP-26.0
Edge-0.5 Cleveland St
Line159.5 → 160.5 (+1)
KP160.0
Edge-0.5 Under
Line-32.5
KP-26.0
Edge-6.5 Alabama St
Line161.5 → 163.5 (+2)
KP160.0
Edge-3.5 Under
Line-11.5 → -10.5 (+1)
KP-7.0
Edge-3.5 North Florida
Line158.5 → 155.5 (-3)
KP157.0
Edge+1.5 Over
Line-16.5 → -13.5 (+3)
KP-14.0
Edge+0.5 San Diego St
Line154.5
KP152.0
Edge-2.5 Under
Line-21.5 → -20.5 (+1)
KP-18.0
Edge-2.5 Northern Arizona
Line153.5
KP146.0
Edge-7.5 Under
No games match.
Best number on each side across 10 books at the last pull (Nov 3, 5:00 PM CT). Tap a price to open that bet in the book's app or site; DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM links go straight to the bet slip when the book allows it. The same links open the game for live betting after tip. Gold outlines are the sides on today's board. Lines move: check the price in the app before you bet.
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Wofford | Tennessee | O | U | Wofford | Tennessee |
| DK | +25.5-110↗ | -25.5-110↗ | 155.5-112↗ | 155.5-108↗ | +2500↗ | -9000↗ |
| FD | +24.5-102↗ | -24.5-120↗ | 155.5-115↗ | 155.5-105↗ | +3500↗ | -20000↗ |
| MGM | +25.5-115↗ | -25.5-105↗ | 155.5-110↗ | 155.5-110↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +25-117 | -25-103 | 155.5-110 | 155.5-110 | – | – |
| BR | +25.5-109 | -25.5-114 | 156.5-113 | 156.5-109 | – | – |
| BUS | +25-110 | -25-110 | 155.5-110 | 155.5-110 | – | – |
| BOV | +25.5-115 | -25.5-105 | 155.5-115 | 155.5-105 | +3500 | -20000 |
| FAN | +25-110 | -25-110 | 156-110 | 156-110 | +3500 | -10000 |
| LV | +25-113 | -25+101 | 155.5-108 | 155.5-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +25.5-110 | -25.5-110 | 155.5-110 | 155.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Wagner | Boston College | O | U | Wagner | Boston College |
| DK | +20.5-115↗ | -20.5-105↗ | 143.5-105↗ | 143.5-115↗ | +1600↗ | -4000↗ |
| FD | +19.5-102↗ | -19.5-120↗ | 143.5-110↗ | 143.5-110↗ | +1600↗ | -4500↗ |
| MGM | +20.5-115↗ | -20.5-105↗ | 143.5-110↗ | 143.5-110↗ | +1400↗ | -5000↗ |
| BOL | +20-106 | -20-114 | 143-115 | 143-105 | – | – |
| BR | +19.5-106 | -19.5-117 | 143.5-110 | 143.5-113 | – | – |
| BOV | +20.5-115 | -20.5-105 | 143.5-105 | 143.5-115 | +1600 | -10000 |
| FAN | +20-110 | -20-110 | 143.5-110 | 143.5-110 | +1800 | -4000 |
| LV | +20-102 | -20-110 | 143-113 | 143-103 | – | – |
| CZR | +20-110 | -20-110 | 143.5-110 | 143.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Purdue Fort Wayne | Duquesne | O | U | Purdue Fort Wayne | Duquesne |
| DK | +9.5-105↗ | -9.5-115↗ | 153.5-108↗ | 153.5-112↗ | +380↗ | -500↗ |
| FD | +9.5-105↗ | -9.5-115↗ | 153.5-115↗ | 153.5-105↗ | +390↗ | -530↗ |
| MGM | +9.5-105↗ | -9.5-115↗ | 153.5-110↗ | 153.5-110↗ | +375↗ | -500↗ |
| BOL | +9.5-108 | -9.5-112 | 153.5-115 | 153.5-105 | +396 | -520 |
| BR | +9.5-108 | -9.5-115 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-113 | +375 | -530 |
| BUS | +10-115 | -10-105 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-110 | +400 | -520 |
| BOV | +9.5-105 | -9.5-115 | 152.5-120 | 152.5+100 | +390 | -550 |
| FAN | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-110 | +390 | -525 |
| LV | +9.5-104 | -9.5-108 | 153.5-113 | 153.5-103 | +396 | -520 |
| CZR | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-110 | +360 | -480 |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Hampton | Georgia Tech | O | U | Hampton | Georgia Tech |
| DK | +13.5-105↗ | -13.5-115↗ | 149.5-105↗ | 149.5-115↗ | +800↗ | -1350↗ |
| FD | +13.5-105↗ | -13.5-115↗ | 148.5-110↗ | 148.5-110↗ | +800↗ | -1400↗ |
| MGM | +13.5-105↗ | -13.5-115↗ | 149.5-105↗ | 149.5-115↗ | +725↗ | -1200↗ |
| BOL | +14-115 | -14-105 | 149-110 | 149-110 | +817 | -1350 |
| BR | +14.5-117 | -14.5-107 | 149.5-114 | 149.5-109 | +700 | -1250 |
| BUS | +14-115 | -14-105 | 149-110 | 149-110 | +830 | -1350 |
| BOV | +14-110 | -14-110 | 149-115 | 149-105 | +750 | -1400 |
| FAN | +14-110 | -14-110 | 150-110 | 150-110 | +800 | -1300 |
| LV | +14-108 | -14-104 | 149-108 | 149-108 | +817 | -1350 |
| CZR | +14-110 | -14-110 | 150-110 | 150-110 | +700 | -1100 |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Manhattan | Kentucky | O | U | Manhattan | Kentucky |
| DK | +33.5-112↗ | -33.5-108↗ | 158.5-110↗ | 158.5-110↗ | – | – |
| FD | +32.5-104↗ | -32.5-118↗ | 158.5-110↗ | 158.5-110↗ | – | – |
| MGM | +33.5-110↗ | -33.5-110↗ | 158.5-110↗ | 158.5-110↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +33.5-110 | -33.5-110 | 158.5-107 | 158.5-113 | – | – |
| BR | +33.5-117 | -33.5-107 | 158.5-113 | 158.5-110 | – | – |
| BUS | +33-110 | -33-110 | 158.5-110 | 158.5-110 | – | – |
| BOV | +33-110 | -33-110 | 158.5-105 | 158.5-115 | – | – |
| FAN | +33-110 | -33-110 | 158.5-110 | 158.5-110 | +9000 | -50000 |
| LV | +33.5-106 | -33.5-106 | 158.5-105 | 158.5-111 | – | – |
| CZR | +33-110 | -33-110 | 157.5-110 | 157.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Holy Cross | Rhode Island | O | U | Holy Cross | Rhode Island |
| DK | +20.5-118↗ | -20.5-102↗ | 147.5-108↗ | 147.5-112↗ | +1700↗ | -4500↗ |
| FD | +19.5-102↗ | -19.5-120↗ | 147.5-110↗ | 147.5-110↗ | +1600↗ | -4500↗ |
| MGM | +20.5-115↗ | -20.5-105↗ | 147.5-105↗ | 147.5-115↗ | +1350↗ | -5000↗ |
| BOL | +20-110 | -20-110 | 147-110 | 147-110 | – | – |
| BR | +20.5-110 | -20.5-113 | 147.5-109 | 147.5-113 | – | – |
| BOV | +19.5-105 | -19.5-115 | 147.5-110 | 147.5-110 | +1600 | -10000 |
| FAN | +20-110 | -20-110 | 147-110 | 147-110 | +2000 | -5000 |
| LV | +20-106 | -20-106 | 147-108 | 147-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +19.5-110 | -19.5-110 | 147-110 | 147-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Stetson | South Carolina | O | U | Stetson | South Carolina |
| DK | +20.5-112↗ | -20.5-108↗ | 149.5-110↗ | 149.5-110↗ | +1800↗ | -5000↗ |
| FD | +20.5-110↗ | -20.5-110↗ | 148.5-115↗ | 148.5-105↗ | +1600↗ | -4500↗ |
| MGM | +20.5-115↗ | -20.5-105↗ | 149.5-105↗ | 149.5-115↗ | +1350↗ | -5000↗ |
| BOL | +20-110 | -20-110 | 149-108 | 149-112 | – | – |
| BR | +20.5-114 | -20.5-109 | 149.5-113 | 149.5-110 | – | – |
| BOV | +20.5-110 | -20.5-110 | 149.5-110 | 149.5-110 | +1600 | -10000 |
| FAN | +19.5+100 | -19.5-120 | 148-110 | 148-110 | +1700 | -3000 |
| LV | +20-106 | -20-106 | 149-106 | 149-110 | – | – |
| CZR | +20-110 | -20-110 | 149.5-110 | 149.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Coppin St | Virginia Tech | O | U | Coppin St | Virginia Tech |
| DK | +31.5-112↗ | -31.5-108↗ | 150.5-110↗ | 150.5-110↗ | – | – |
| FD | +30.5-110↗ | -30.5-110↗ | 151.5-105↗ | 151.5-115↗ | – | – |
| MGM | +30.5-105↗ | -30.5-115↗ | 150.5-115↗ | 150.5-105↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +31-110 | -31-110 | 150.5-110 | 150.5-110 | – | – |
| BR | +31.5-117 | -31.5-107 | 150.5-114 | 150.5-109 | – | – |
| BOV | +31.5-110 | -31.5-110 | 150.5-110 | 150.5-110 | – | – |
| FAN | +31-110 | -31-110 | 151-110 | 151-110 | +8000 | -50000 |
| LV | +31-106 | -31-106 | 150.5-108 | 150.5-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +31.5-110 | -31.5-110 | 150.5-110 | 150.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Sam Houston St | Alabama | O | U | Sam Houston St | Alabama |
| DK | +27.5-115↗ | -27.5-105↗ | 172.5-108↗ | 172.5-112↗ | +2200↗ | -8000↗ |
| FD | +26.5-110↗ | -26.5-110↗ | 171.5-115↗ | 171.5-105↗ | – | – |
| MGM | +26.5-105↗ | -26.5-115↗ | 171.5-115↗ | 171.5-105↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +27-110 | -27-110 | 172.5-110 | 172.5-110 | – | – |
| BR | +27.5-118 | -27.5-106 | 172.5-112 | 172.5-112 | – | – |
| BUS | +27-110 | -27-110 | 172.5-110 | 172.5-110 | – | – |
| BOV | +27-115 | -27-105 | 171.5-110 | 171.5-110 | +3000 | -10000 |
| FAN | +27-110 | -27-110 | 172-110 | 172-110 | +3500 | -10000 |
| LV | +27-106 | -27-106 | 172.5-108 | 172.5-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +27-110 | -27-110 | 172.5-110 | 172.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Drexel | Virginia | O | U | Drexel | Virginia |
| DK | +31.5-105↗ | -31.5-115↗ | 142.5-115↗ | 142.5-105↗ | – | – |
| FD | +31.5-110↗ | -31.5-110↗ | 142.5-110↗ | 142.5-110↗ | – | – |
| MGM | +31.5-105↗ | -31.5-115↗ | 142.5-115↗ | 142.5-105↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +32-110 | -32-110 | 142.5-116 | 142.5-104 | – | – |
| BR | +31.5-113 | -31.5-110 | 142.5-112 | 142.5-112 | – | – |
| BUS | +32-110 | -32-110 | 142.5-110 | 142.5-110 | – | – |
| BOV | +32-110 | -32-110 | 142.5-110 | 142.5-110 | – | – |
| FAN | +31.5-105 | -31.5-115 | 142.5-110 | 142.5-110 | +7000 | -50000 |
| LV | +32-106 | -32-106 | 142.5-109 | 142.5-107 | – | – |
| CZR | +32-110 | -32-110 | 142.5-110 | 142.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Arkansas Pine Bluff | Arkansas | O | U | Arkansas Pine Bluff | Arkansas |
| DK | +41.5-105↗ | -41.5-115↗ | 166.5-112↗ | 166.5-108↗ | – | – |
| FD | +41.5-104↗ | -41.5-118↗ | 166.5-110↗ | 166.5-110↗ | – | – |
| MGM | +41.5-105↗ | -41.5-115↗ | 166.5-110↗ | 166.5-110↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +41.5-105 | -41.5-115 | 166.5-110 | 166.5-110 | – | – |
| BR | +41.5-106 | -41.5-118 | 166.5-113 | 166.5-110 | – | – |
| BOV | +41.5-105 | -41.5-115 | 166.5-110 | 166.5-110 | – | – |
| FAN | +41.5-110 | -41.5-110 | 166.5-110 | 166.5-110 | +12000 | -100000 |
| LV | +41.5-101 | -41.5-111 | 166.5-108 | 166.5-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +42-110 | -42-110 | 166.5-110 | 166.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Lipscomb | Iowa | O | U | Lipscomb | Iowa |
| DK | +23.5-108↗ | -23.5-112↗ | 149.5-108↗ | 149.5-112↗ | +2200↗ | -8000↗ |
| FD | +22.5-102↗ | -22.5-120↗ | 148.5-118↗ | 148.5-104↗ | +2500↗ | -10000↗ |
| MGM | +23.5-110↗ | -23.5-110↗ | 149.5-105↗ | 149.5-115↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +23.5-105 | -23.5-115 | 149.5-110 | 149.5-110 | – | – |
| BR | +23.5-118 | -23.5-105 | 149.5-109 | 149.5-113 | – | – |
| BOV | +23.5-110 | -23.5-110 | 149.5-110 | 149.5-110 | – | – |
| FAN | +23.5-115 | -23.5-105 | 149-110 | 149-110 | +2250 | -5000 |
| LV | +23.5-101 | -23.5-111 | 149.5-108 | 149.5-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +23.5-110 | -23.5-110 | 149-110 | 149-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | South Dakota St | Kansas St | O | U | South Dakota St | Kansas St |
| DK | +10.5-105↗ | -10.5-115↗ | 159.5-105↗ | 159.5-115↗ | +490↗ | -675↗ |
| FD | +10.5-102↗ | -10.5-120↗ | 159.5-110↗ | 159.5-110↗ | +480↗ | -690↗ |
| MGM | +11.5-118↗ | -11.5-102↗ | 159.5-105↗ | 159.5-115↗ | +475↗ | -650↗ |
| BOL | +11-110 | -11-110 | 159-110 | 159-110 | +488 | -670 |
| BR | +11.5-109 | -11.5-114 | 158.5-114 | 158.5-109 | +475 | -715 |
| BUS | +11-110 | -11-110 | 159-110 | 159-110 | +485 | -670 |
| BOV | +10.5+100 | -10.5-120 | 159-110 | 159-110 | +460 | -675 |
| FAN | +11.5-115 | -11.5-105 | 159-110 | 159-110 | +500 | -700 |
| LV | +11-106 | -11-106 | 159-108 | 159-108 | +488 | -670 |
| CZR | +11-110 | -11-110 | 159-110 | 159-110 | +460 | -650 |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | LSU New Orleans | LSU | O | U | LSU New Orleans | LSU |
| DK | +27.5-110↗ | -27.5-110↗ | 159.5-110↗ | 159.5-110↗ | +3000↗ | -10000↗ |
| FD | +26.5-102↗ | -26.5-120↗ | 159.5-110↗ | 159.5-110↗ | +4000↗ | -30000↗ |
| BR | +27.5-113 | -27.5-110 | 160.5-110 | 160.5-113 | – | – |
| BOV | +27.5-110 | -27.5-110 | 159.5-110 | 159.5-110 | +1800 | -20000 |
| FAN | +27.5-110 | -27.5-110 | 159.5-115 | 159.5-105 | +3000 | -10000 |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Cleveland St | Missouri | O | U | Cleveland St | Missouri |
| DK | +26.5-108↗ | -26.5-112↗ | 160.5-110↗ | 160.5-110↗ | +2200↗ | -8000↗ |
| FD | +26.5-110↗ | -26.5-110↗ | 160.5-110↗ | 160.5-110↗ | +4000↗ | -30000↗ |
| MGM | +26.5-110↗ | -26.5-110↗ | 160.5-110↗ | 160.5-110↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +26.5-110 | -26.5-110 | 160.5-110 | 160.5-110 | – | – |
| BR | +26.5-112 | -26.5-112 | 159.5-117 | 159.5-107 | – | – |
| BUS | +26.5-110 | -26.5-110 | 160.5-110 | 160.5-110 | – | – |
| BOV | +26.5-105 | -26.5-115 | 160.5-115 | 160.5-105 | +3000 | -10000 |
| FAN | +26.5-110 | -26.5-110 | 160.5-110 | 160.5-110 | +3000 | -10000 |
| LV | +26.5-106 | -26.5-106 | 160.5-108 | 160.5-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +26.5-110 | -26.5-110 | 160.5-110 | 160.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Alabama St | Texas A&M | O | U | Alabama St | Texas A&M |
| DK | +32.5-112↗ | -32.5-108↗ | 163.5-108↗ | 163.5-112↗ | – | – |
| FD | +32.5-115↗ | -32.5-105↗ | 163.5-106↗ | 163.5-114↗ | – | – |
| MGM | +32.5-110↗ | -32.5-110↗ | 163.5-110↗ | 163.5-110↗ | – | – |
| BOL | +32.5-110 | -32.5-110 | 163.5-110 | 163.5-110 | – | – |
| BR | +32.5-117 | -32.5-106 | 163.5-109 | 163.5-113 | – | – |
| BOV | +32.5-110 | -32.5-110 | 163.5-110 | 163.5-110 | – | – |
| FAN | +32.5-110 | -32.5-110 | 163.5-107 | 163.5-112 | +8000 | -50000 |
| LV | +32.5-106 | -32.5-106 | 163.5-108 | 163.5-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +32.5-110 | -32.5-110 | 163.5-110 | 163.5-110 | – | – |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | North Florida | Cal Baptist | O | U | North Florida | Cal Baptist |
| DK | +10.5-105↗ | -10.5-115↗ | 155.5-105↗ | 155.5-115↗ | +470↗ | -650↗ |
| FD | +11.5-115↗ | -11.5-105↗ | 154.5-115↗ | 154.5-105↗ | +530↗ | -780↗ |
| MGM | +10.5-105↗ | -10.5-115↗ | 155.5-105↗ | 155.5-115↗ | +450↗ | -625↗ |
| BOL | +10.5-105 | -10.5-115 | 154.5-110 | 154.5-110 | – | – |
| BR | +11.5-117 | -11.5-107 | 155.5-115 | 155.5-108 | +450 | -670 |
| BOV | +10.5-105 | -10.5-115 | 155.5-105 | 155.5-115 | +460 | -675 |
| FAN | +11-110 | -11-110 | 155.5-110 | 155.5-110 | +500 | -700 |
| LV | +10.5-101 | -10.5-111 | 154.5-108 | 154.5-108 | – | – |
| CZR | +10.5-110 | -10.5-110 | 155.5-110 | 155.5-110 | +460 | -650 |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Cal St. Fullerton | San Diego St | O | U | Cal St. Fullerton | San Diego St |
| DK | +13.5-105↗ | -13.5-115↗ | 154.5-112↗ | 154.5-108↗ | +800↗ | -1350↗ |
| FD | +14.5-120↗ | -14.5-102↗ | 154.5-110↗ | 154.5-110↗ | +800↗ | -1400↗ |
| MGM | +13.5-105↗ | -13.5-115↗ | 154.5-110↗ | 154.5-110↗ | +725↗ | -1200↗ |
| BOL | +13.5-111 | -13.5-109 | 154.5-110 | 154.5-110 | +795 | -1300 |
| BR | +14.5-117 | -14.5-107 | 153.5-113 | 153.5-110 | +700 | -1250 |
| BUS | +13.5-110 | -13.5-110 | 154.5-110 | 154.5-110 | +780 | -1300 |
| BOV | +13.5-105 | -13.5-115 | 154.5-110 | 154.5-110 | +750 | -1400 |
| FAN | +13.5-107 | -13.5-112 | 154.5-110 | 154.5-110 | +800 | -1300 |
| LV | +13.5-106 | -13.5-106 | 154.5-108 | 154.5-108 | +795 | -1300 |
| CZR | +13.5-110 | -13.5-110 | 154.5-110 | 154.5-110 | +700 | -1100 |
| Spread | Total | ML | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Northern Arizona | UNLV | O | U | Northern Arizona | UNLV |
| DK | +20.5-105↗ | -20.5-115↗ | 153.5-112↗ | 153.5-108↗ | +1800↗ | -5000↗ |
| FD | +21.5-118↗ | -21.5-104↗ | 153.5-110↗ | 153.5-110↗ | +2000↗ | -7000↗ |
| MGM | +20.5-102↗ | -20.5-118↗ | 153.5-115↗ | 153.5-105↗ | +1450↗ | -5000↗ |
| BOL | +20.5-110 | -20.5-110 | 154-110 | 154-110 | +1592 | -6000 |
| BR | +21.5-112 | -21.5-112 | 153.5-113 | 153.5-109 | – | – |
| BUS | +20.5-110 | -20.5-110 | 154-110 | 154-110 | – | – |
| BOV | +21-110 | -21-110 | 153.5-120 | 153.5+100 | +1600 | -10000 |
| FAN | +21.5-115 | -21.5-105 | 154-110 | 154-110 | +2500 | -7000 |
| LV | +20.5-106 | -20.5-106 | 154-108 | 154-108 | +1592 | -6000 |
| CZR | +21-110 | -21-110 | 153.5-110 | 153.5-110 | – | – |
Best qualifying system per market and side (30+ games). Paper tracking only: these are finely cut historical angles, and some games have systems on both sides.
Favorites of 10 or more points - dominant team from last season - outscored opponents by 9+ PPG, in the 1st 5 games of the season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season.
All teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points - team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), in the 1st 5 games of the season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season.
All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games, in the 1st 5 games of the season, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference.
Road teams against the total - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight ATS losses, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year, in the 1st 5 games of the season.
Home favorites of 10 or more points - good free throw shooting team from last season - made >=72% of their free throws, in the 1st 5 games of the season, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season.
All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 - good rebounding team from last season - outrebounded opponents by 4+ per game, in the 1st 5 games of the season, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference.
All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 170 - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, in the 1st 5 games of the season.
Road teams where the first half total is >=75.5 - team that had a winning record last season, in the 1st 5 games of the season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season.
Road underdogs of 10 or more points - good offensive team from last season - scored 77 or more points/game, in the 1st 5 games of the season, after a combined score of 165 points or more.
Home teams where the first half total is 70.5 to 75.5 - with just one or fewer starters returning from last season, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 10+ losses in last 12 games.
Favorites of 10 or more points - dominant team from last season - outscored opponents by 9+ PPG, in the 1st 5 games of the season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season.
Home teams against the total - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 8+ wins in last 10 games, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a team who had a losing record last year, in the 1st 5 games of the season.
Home teams where the first half total is 70.5 to 75.5 - with just one or fewer starters returning from last season, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 10+ losses in last 12 games.
Road teams against the total - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight ATS losses, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year, in the 1st 5 games of the season.
Home teams where the first half total is 70.5 to 75.5 - poor defensive team from last season - allowed 98 or more points/game, in the 1st 5 games of the season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season.
All teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points - team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), in the 1st 5 games of the season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season.
How each model's predicted scores hold up against final scores and the closing line. "Miss" is the average points off; the closing line's own miss is the number to beat. Updated each morning after Big Data Ball's results land.
KenPom's FanMatch projection is compared with DraftKings' current line. A spread gap of 2.5+ points or a total gap of 4+ points flags the play. Games with two or more betting systems (30+ games, best ROI 25%+) on one side are flagged as systems plays.
In Big Data Ball's 2022-23, 2023-24 and 2025-26 closing lines, the side a line later moved toward won 54% at the opening number on 1+ point spread moves and 59% on 2+ point total moves. At the closing number the same bets were about break-even. Getting the number early is the edge, so every play is logged with its line at flag time and graded for closing-line value.